Penny vs. D-Rose
Food for thought:
Penny Year 1:
16.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 6.6 APG, 2.3 SPG, 82 GP (All Rookie 1st Team)
Rose Year 1:
16.8 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 6.3 APG, 0.8 SPG, 81 GP (Rookie of the Year)
Penny Year 2:
20.9 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.7 SPG, 77 GP (All NBA 1st Team)
Rose Year 2:
20.8 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 6.0 APG, 0.7 SPG, 78 GP
Penny Year 3:
21.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 7.1 APG, 2.0 SPG, 82 GP (All NBA 1st Team, 3rd in MVP voting)
Rose Year 3:
25.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 7.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 81 GP (MVP)
Penny Year 4:
20.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.6 APG, 59 GP (All NBA 3rd Team)
Rose Year 4:
21.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 7.9 APG, 0.9 APG, 39 GP (lockout season; 66 total games)
Penny Year 5:
16.4 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.5 SPG, 19 GP
Rose Year 5:
DNP
Penny Year 6:
15.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 5.3 APG, 2.2 SPG, 50 GP (lockout season; 50 total games)
Rose Year 6:
15.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.3 APG, 0.5 SPG, 10 GP
Penny Year 7:
16.9 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.6 SPG, 60 GP
Rose Year 7:
18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.0 APG, 0.7 SPG, 26 GP (Possibly more)

As you can see, these two are scary similar. They both peaked in their third season, and with the exception of Rose's MVP, Penny actually has had a better career at this point. (Let's face it, Penny wasn't getting an MVP with Jordan still in the league, so his 3rd place finish in '96 is still impressive.)
Starting with year 8 and for his remaining 7 seasons, Penny was even more injury-prone, with the exception of 2 season where he played 76+ games. Thus far, Rose and Penny are on the same path, with Rose playing even less games than Hardaway did. However, with the advances in medicine, Rose does have advantages that Penny never did. I think Rose will still be able to contribute, but I would say his days of being an all-star, let alone one of the league's best, are officially over.
I hope I'm wrong.
Penny Year 1:
16.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 6.6 APG, 2.3 SPG, 82 GP (All Rookie 1st Team)
Rose Year 1:
16.8 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 6.3 APG, 0.8 SPG, 81 GP (Rookie of the Year)
| courtesy of nba.com |
20.9 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.7 SPG, 77 GP (All NBA 1st Team)
Rose Year 2:
20.8 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 6.0 APG, 0.7 SPG, 78 GP
Penny Year 3:
21.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 7.1 APG, 2.0 SPG, 82 GP (All NBA 1st Team, 3rd in MVP voting)
Rose Year 3:
25.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 7.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 81 GP (MVP)
Penny Year 4:
20.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.6 APG, 59 GP (All NBA 3rd Team)
Rose Year 4:
21.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 7.9 APG, 0.9 APG, 39 GP (lockout season; 66 total games)
Penny Year 5:
16.4 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.5 SPG, 19 GP
Rose Year 5:
DNP
Penny Year 6:
15.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 5.3 APG, 2.2 SPG, 50 GP (lockout season; 50 total games)
Rose Year 6:
15.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.3 APG, 0.5 SPG, 10 GP
Penny Year 7:
16.9 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 5.3 APG, 1.6 SPG, 60 GP
Rose Year 7:
18.4 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.0 APG, 0.7 SPG, 26 GP (Possibly more)
As you can see, these two are scary similar. They both peaked in their third season, and with the exception of Rose's MVP, Penny actually has had a better career at this point. (Let's face it, Penny wasn't getting an MVP with Jordan still in the league, so his 3rd place finish in '96 is still impressive.)
Starting with year 8 and for his remaining 7 seasons, Penny was even more injury-prone, with the exception of 2 season where he played 76+ games. Thus far, Rose and Penny are on the same path, with Rose playing even less games than Hardaway did. However, with the advances in medicine, Rose does have advantages that Penny never did. I think Rose will still be able to contribute, but I would say his days of being an all-star, let alone one of the league's best, are officially over.
I hope I'm wrong.
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